Bon je vais vous mettre tous d’accord sur la sortie de l’Euro.
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L’Europe et l’Euro ont retiré le pouvoir monétaire des mains des politiques, et c’était peut-être l’un de ses buts, pourquoi ?
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Draghi :
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The breakdown in the ability of post-war macroeconomic models to
accurately forecast the economic developments of the 1970s and the early
1980s opened up space for further advances in research..
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In the 1970s governments attempted to maximise social welfare, in the
form of low unemployment and inflation, by trying to exploit the
short-run trade-off between the two. They engineered surprise booms
“just once” before promising to revert to a policy of low inflation in
future, especially when motivated by the electoral cycle. The insights
of a number of Nobel laureates showed how these policies were bound to
fail and why they were time inconsistent.[2]
The same incentive to renege remains in the future, and promises to do
otherwise lack credibility. Rational wage and price setters will not
believe in a policy that policymakers will find it optimal to renege on,
making it difficult for policymakers to achieve price stability without
a recession.
It is hard to overestimate the enormous impact that
the Lucas critique and the problem of time inconsistency have had on the
conduct of monetary policy over the past 40 years. In the 1970s, most
central banks were under political control and obliged to follow more or
less short-term oriented policies. During the 1990s and 2000s, the
importance of credibility was increasingly appreciated and evidence
mounted that operationally independent central banks with a clear
mandate to maintain price stability delivered much better economic
outcomes than those under direct government control.
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C’est assez clair ?
Draghi a une opinion désastreuse des hommes politiques, il dit entre les lignes que les politiques sont des démagogues, qui ne pensent qu’à leur réelection, qui ne voient pas plus loin que l’horizon de la prochaine élection ; qui sont prêts à tout promettre et à tout donner, ils sont incompétents, et en plus, malhonnêtes (ils se renient) .
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Maintenant le pouvoir monétaire est aux mains de gens compétents comme Draghi. Mais n’est plus dans les mains de Français, ce qui veut dire que si le FN ou L’UPR, arrivaient au pouvoir, la France récupérerait le pouvoir monétaire, enfin la France ... MLP ou Asselineau, car à l’élection suivante on aurait peut-être le retour de la gauche au pouvoir, comme sous Mitterrand, ou de l’éxtrème gauche, qui sait ...