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Commentaire de Vulpes vulpes

sur A propos du Danger de Contamination présenté par les Vaccinés (les français vaccinés interdits de se déplacer car possiblement porteurs)


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Vulpes vulpes Vulpes vulpes 8 avril 2021 23:07

@bubu12
 

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2774707

SARS-CoV-2 Transmission From People Without COVID-19 Symptoms

 

Findings In this decision analytical model assessing multiple scenarios for the infectious period and the proportion of transmission from individuals who never have COVID-19 symptoms, transmission from asymptomatic individuals was estimated to account for more than half of all transmission.

 

Results The baseline assumptions for the model were that peak infectiousness occurred at the median of symptom onset and that 30% of individuals with infection never develop symptoms and are 75% as infectious as those who do develop symptoms. Combined, these baseline assumptions imply that persons with infection who never develop symptoms may account for approximately 24% of all transmission. In this base case, 59% of all transmission came from asymptomatic transmission, comprising 35% from presymptomatic individuals and 24% from individuals who never develop symptoms. Under a broad range of values for each of these assumptions, at least 50% of new SARS-CoV-2 infections was estimated to have originated from exposure to individuals with infection but without symptoms.

 

 

« An assumption of an assumption, on top of an assumption »

 


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